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Al Mayadeen's correspondent: Israeli occupation forces blew up Noura Al-Kaabi Hospital, designated for kidney dialysis patients, in the northern Gaza Strip
Al Mayadeen's correspondent: Israeli drone targets a car on the Ayta al-Shaab-Debel road in southern Lebanon
Yemeni Armed Forces Spokesperson Yahya Saree: The remaining airlines that have not yet complied with the ban are urged to take this into serious consideration to ensure the safety of their aircraft and passengers
Yemeni Armed Forces Spokesperson Yahya Saree: The YAF, after successfully imposing a partial ban on air traffic at Lydd Airport, are now working to impose a full ban on air traffic at the aforementioned airport in the coming period
Yemeni Armed Forces Spokesperson Yahya Saree: YAF's UAV Unit carried out three military operations targeting three vital Israeli sites in the occupied Palestinian areas of Yafa, Isdud, and Umm al-Rashrash, using three drones
Yemeni Armed Forces Spokesperson Yahya Saree: The operation successfully achieved its objective, causing millions of Zionist settlers to flee to shelters and bringing airport operations to a halt
Yemeni Armed Forces Spokesperson Yahya Saree: YAF targeted Lydd Airport in the occupied Yafa area (Tel Aviv) with a hypersonic ballistic missile
Israeli media: Ben Gurion Airport airspace sut down following missile launch from Yemen
Israeli media: Air raid sirens sound in the central region and Hashfala following the detection of a missile launch from Yemen
SDF announces the killing of three of its members as a result of ISIS cells detonating a landmine targeting a vehicle of a security patrol on the Hasaka-Raqqa road

World on track to breach key 1.5°C threshold in next 5 years: Report

  • By Al Mayadeen Net
  • Source: Agencies
  • 10 May 2022 16:34
3 Min Read

Studies warn of the possibility of the global average surface temperature reaching 1.5°C over the preindustrial average for the first time.

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  • World on track to breach key 1.5°C threshold in next 5 years: Report
    World on track to breach key 1.5°C thresholds in next 5 years: Report

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported Monday that there is a 50% possibility that the global average surface temperature would reach 1.5°C over the preindustrial average for the first time in an individual year over the next five years.

Countries are attempting to restrict global warming to 1.5°C over pre-industrial levels under the Paris Agreement to reduce the potential for catastrophic climate change impacts.

According to studies, if global warming exceeds 1.5°C over preindustrial levels and continues, the chances of widespread damage increase dramatically.

Read next: Countries with the highest annual CO2 emissions per capita

The new research, which includes climate estimates for the five years 2022-2026, does not indicate that the 1.5-degree objective will be met in the long run, as defined by the Paris Agreement.

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The analysis, led by the UK Met Office for the WMO, a United Nations body, and included contributions from climate centers in the United States, Australia, Denmark, and other countries, reveals that the chances of crossing the 1.5-degree barrier in the short run are quickly growing.

For the 2017-2021 forecast period, the WMO concluded that the chances of a single year with temperature anomalies at or above 1.5°C compared to preindustrial levels were just 10%.

The report's lead author, Leon Hermanson, said in a statement that the increased likelihood of exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius in a single year shows "that we are moving progressively closer to a situation where 1.5°C could be exceeded for an extended period."

What's the deal?

Climate studies have shown that if warming exceeds 1.5°C on a long-term average, significantly more catastrophic repercussions, such as the loss of warm-water coral reefs, flooding of small island states, and an increase in lethal heatwaves around the planet, will occur.

"The 1.5°C figure is not some random statistic," said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas in a statement. "It is rather an indicator of the point at which climate impacts will become increasingly harmful for people and indeed the entire planet."

Read next: G20 Leaders Agree on 1.5°C Climate Change Target

In terms of numbers, the climate prognosis indicates that there is a 93% chance that at least one year between 2022 and 2026 will be the warmest on record, dethroning 2016 from the top spot.

In addition, it finds that the chance of the five-year average for 2022-2026 being higher than the previous five years is also 93%. There is just a 10% chance that the five-year average will exceed 1.5°C, the report found.

Furthermore, it discovers that the likelihood of the five-year average for 2022-2026 being higher than the preceding five years is 93%. According to the analysis, there is only a 10% probability that the five-year average will exceed 1.5°C.

Read next: Fossil Fuel Output Plans Exceed Climate 1.5 Degrees Celsius Target

  • World Meteorological Organization
  • global warming
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