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Al Mayadeen's correspondent: Two were martyred in an initial toll of the Israeli drone strike that targeted the al-Asira neighborhood in the city of Baalbek, eastern Lebanon
Al Mayadeen's correspondent: An Israeli drone strike targeted the al-Asira neighborhood east of Baalbek, eastern Lebanon
Sheikh Naim Qassem to the pager attack survivors: You are the greatest resistance. Know that 'Israel' will fall because it embodies aggression, crime, and occupation; victory is truly yours
Sheikh Qassem to the pager attack survivors: The value of what you are doing despite your wounds is immense, and here you are, treading the path of the Master of Nation's Martyrs and the leaders
Sheikh Qassem to the pager attack survivors: You are moving forward with insight deeper than sight itself. The enemy sought to eliminate your role in the battle, yet you remain steadfast and continue the fight
Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem to the pager attack survivors one year later: You are healing from your wounds and rising above them. You have successfully passed the test
Palestinian media: Reports of stabbing operation in occupied al-Quds.
Israeli media: Sirens blare in Arava in South, near Ramon Airport.
Egyptian PM Mostafa Madbouli: Egypt is targeted in plans to redraw regional map
AEOI Chief Mohammad Eslami: Our presence in IAEA General Council and fact-checking helped in preventing unilateral rhetoric that aims to portray Iran as an unregulated country

World on track to breach key 1.5°C threshold in next 5 years: Report

  • By Al Mayadeen Net
  • Source: Agencies
  • 10 May 2022 15:34
3 Min Read

Studies warn of the possibility of the global average surface temperature reaching 1.5°C over the preindustrial average for the first time.

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  • World on track to breach key 1.5°C threshold in next 5 years: Report
    World on track to breach key 1.5°C thresholds in next 5 years: Report

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported Monday that there is a 50% possibility that the global average surface temperature would reach 1.5°C over the preindustrial average for the first time in an individual year over the next five years.

Countries are attempting to restrict global warming to 1.5°C over pre-industrial levels under the Paris Agreement to reduce the potential for catastrophic climate change impacts.

According to studies, if global warming exceeds 1.5°C over preindustrial levels and continues, the chances of widespread damage increase dramatically.

Read next: Countries with the highest annual CO2 emissions per capita

The new research, which includes climate estimates for the five years 2022-2026, does not indicate that the 1.5-degree objective will be met in the long run, as defined by the Paris Agreement.

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The analysis, led by the UK Met Office for the WMO, a United Nations body, and included contributions from climate centers in the United States, Australia, Denmark, and other countries, reveals that the chances of crossing the 1.5-degree barrier in the short run are quickly growing.

For the 2017-2021 forecast period, the WMO concluded that the chances of a single year with temperature anomalies at or above 1.5°C compared to preindustrial levels were just 10%.

The report's lead author, Leon Hermanson, said in a statement that the increased likelihood of exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius in a single year shows "that we are moving progressively closer to a situation where 1.5°C could be exceeded for an extended period."

What's the deal?

Climate studies have shown that if warming exceeds 1.5°C on a long-term average, significantly more catastrophic repercussions, such as the loss of warm-water coral reefs, flooding of small island states, and an increase in lethal heatwaves around the planet, will occur.

"The 1.5°C figure is not some random statistic," said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas in a statement. "It is rather an indicator of the point at which climate impacts will become increasingly harmful for people and indeed the entire planet."

Read next: G20 Leaders Agree on 1.5°C Climate Change Target

In terms of numbers, the climate prognosis indicates that there is a 93% chance that at least one year between 2022 and 2026 will be the warmest on record, dethroning 2016 from the top spot.

In addition, it finds that the chance of the five-year average for 2022-2026 being higher than the previous five years is also 93%. There is just a 10% chance that the five-year average will exceed 1.5°C, the report found.

Furthermore, it discovers that the likelihood of the five-year average for 2022-2026 being higher than the preceding five years is 93%. According to the analysis, there is only a 10% probability that the five-year average will exceed 1.5°C.

Read next: Fossil Fuel Output Plans Exceed Climate 1.5 Degrees Celsius Target

  • World Meteorological Organization
  • global warming
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UKLFI’s latest faux pas, like "Israel’s" recent failed attempt at regime change in Iran, is unambiguously indicative of a flailing entity on the verge of extinction. (Al Mayadeen English; Illustrated by Zeinab el-Hajj)

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