Al Mayadeen English

  • Ar
  • Es
  • x
Al Mayadeen English

Slogan

  • News
    • Politics
    • Economy
    • Sports
    • Arts&Culture
    • Health
    • Miscellaneous
    • Technology
    • Environment
  • Articles
    • Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Blog
    • Features
  • Videos
    • NewsFeed
    • Video Features
    • Explainers
    • TV
    • Digital Series
  • Infographs
  • In Pictures
  • • LIVE
News
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Sports
  • Arts&Culture
  • Health
  • Miscellaneous
  • Technology
  • Environment
Articles
  • Opinion
  • Analysis
  • Blog
  • Features
Videos
  • NewsFeed
  • Video Features
  • Explainers
  • TV
  • Digital Series
Infographs
In Pictures
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Asia-Pacific
  • Europe
  • Latin America
  • MENA
  • Palestine
  • US & Canada
BREAKING
Al Mayadeen's correspondent: One was killed, another injured in a raid by an Israeli drone on the city of Khiam in South Lebanon
London views possibility of setting fire to tanker in port of friendly country to Russia to damage port infrastructure, initiate an international probe: Moscow
One of London's scenarios involves setting up accident with 'undesirable' tanker in one of the bottlenecks of maritime communications: Russian foreign intelligence agency
London plans to organize major sabotage with tankers to declare transportation of Russian oil to international shipping: Russian foreign intelligence agency
UK intelligence agencies plan to use NATO allies to launch massive raid on 'Shadow Fleet': Russian foreign intelligence agency
Palestinian Ministry of Health: Two were martyred in Israeli shelling that targeted a besieged house in the town of Qabatiya in Jenin
At least 68 dead in migrant shipwreck off Yemen: IOM
Trump: We want to feed the people in Gaza, we do not want them to starve.
US President Donald Trump: We will impose sanctions on Russia if it does not end the war on Ukraine.
Israeli media: Polls show that 52% oppose Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu while only 29% support him.

West overestimates Ukraine's potential to overturn war: 19fortyfive

  • By Al Mayadeen English
  • Source: News websites
  • 5 Apr 2023 21:49
  • 3 Shares
4 Min Read

The strategic potential of Leopard 2 tanks has proved vulnerable in combat, according to the 19fortyfive website.

  • x
  • A Leopard 2 tank is seen in action at the Bundeswehr tank battalion 203 at the Field Marshal Rommel Barracks in Augustdorf, Germany, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023 (AP Photo/Martin Meissner, File )
    A Leopard 2 tank is seen in action at the Bundeswehr tank battalion 203 at the Field Marshal Rommel Barracks in Augustdorf, Germany, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023 (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

Many Western military strategists have been wishfully speculating that Ukraine will overturn the course of events of the war in the anticipated spring counteroffensive if supplied with enough Western weaponry. Daniel Davis of the 19fortyfive website contends that this is an overestimation. 

“Emotion and Western preference for a Ukrainian victory aside, a calculating examination of the combat and wartime fundamentals do not bode well for Kiev.” Davis’ article reads. 

Military aid in anticipation of the counteroffensive

For the past months, media reports and the speeches of officials have been abounding with hints of an anticipated large-scale Ukrainian offensive that was being prepared.

On March 23, Gen. Oleksandr Syrsky, commander of the Ukrainian ground forces, optimistically announced that the counteroffensive will launch very soon confidently speculating that it will be successful in countering recent Russian gains in Bakhmut, comparing the anticipated military scenario to that of Kiev and Kharkiv during the early days of the war. 

Read more: Kiev's troops fight in Bakhmut to 'buy time' ahead of Spring offensive

Later, the Ukrainian defense minister Oleksii Reznikov, who was accused of corruption scandals in arms deals, announced that Ukrainian forces had received tanks and armored personnel carriers from several Western countries. 

In the article, Davis lists a set of advanced weaponry which Ukraine has received from the West: MiG 29 jets, American Patriot air defense systems, American  M1A1 Abrams tanks, Stryker armored vehicles, British Challenger tanks, German Leopard tanks, French AMX-10 vehicles, Turkish Kirpi armored personnel carriers, American Paladin self-propelled 155mm howitzers.

Related News

US Army bases and facilities are 'falling apart' - reports

They have arrived!
Strykers and Cougars from 🇺🇲, Challengers from 🇬🇧, Marders from 🇩🇪 have officially joined the Air Assault Forces of the #UAarmy!
The greatest vehicles for the best soldiers.
Onward! pic.twitter.com/xZnjtdnwfq

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 27, 2023

In addition to hefty packages of military aid, Ukrainian troops have enjoyed extensive military training at different NATO facilities in Europe. It was reported that back in February up to 30,000 Ukrainian troops in Europe, following the EU's pledge to train Ukrainian forces for their offensive against Russia. Later on the 17th of March, the Pentagon announced that more than 600 soldiers have finished a training course on large-scale maneuvers in Germany.

The Pentagon revealed that during the training camp in Germany had completed combined arms training on the M2 Bradley Fighting Vehicle after the US had agreed to provide more than 100 Bradleys equipped with 25 mm autocannons. 

  • American Bradley Fighting Vehicles, Syria, 12 November 2020 (U.S. Army photo by Spc. Jensen Guillory)
    American Bradley Fighting Vehicles, Syria, 12 November 2020 (U.S. Army photo by Spc. Jensen Guillory)

Read more: War in motion: Will new Western arms tip current balance in Ukraine?

Wishful Military Strategism 

In the 19fortyfive article, Davis contends that the hefty military aid funneled to Ukraine doesn't guarantee the success of the spring counteroffensive. On the contrary, he argues that a close inspection of the facts on the ground shows that there is little chance to overturn the war's course of events. 

He argues that the military camps which the Ukrainian forces are receiving "are far too disjointed and will not adequately prepare the Ukrainian military to conduct large-scale, properly coordinated, and sophisticated combined-arms operations to penetrate multiple belts of prepared Russian defensive positions."

Read more: Kiev unable to launch counteroffensive: Zelensky

He also added, in regards to the equipment received by Ukraine, that while they do stand as a formidable bulk of advanced weapons, Western assessments of Ukraine often overlook the complication of turning this bulk of weapons into combat power.

Additionally, on a more technical level, Davis points out that Abrams and Leopard Tanks' combat performance is often overestimated in Western assessments of Ukraine. He points out that these tanks, in themselves, cant act as a transformative technology that would significantly upset the battlefield combat in favor of Ukraine. 

He cites the example of the Battle of El Bab in Northern Syria where leopards were rendered futile on the battlefield. In the Battle of El Bab waged by the Turkish army against Kurdish rebels and ISIS terrorists, the German Leopard tanks gave the Turkish forces no significant upper hand noting that around 10 of the tanks were destroyed by the insurgents who are significantly less militarily potent than the Russian forces. 

  • 1945
  • counteroffensive
  • Russia
  • Ukraine

Most Read

A rescued crew member from the ETERNITY C vessel in a video released by the Yemeni Armed Forces on July 28, 2025 (Yemeni Military Media)

Yemen Navy reveals fate of targeted Eternity C ship crew

  • Politics
  • 28 Jul 2025
An Israeli tank explodes following an ambush by al-Qassam Brigades in Gaza, Occupied Palestine, undated (Al-Qassam Military Media)

Al-Qassam strikes Israeli vehicles in Gaza, inflicts casualties

  • Politics
  • 30 Jul 2025
UAE lodges complaint against Israeli ambassador over 'misbehavior'

UAE lodges complaint against Israeli ambassador over 'misbehavior'

  • Politics
  • 1 Aug 2025
Protesters chant anti-Israeli slogans as they carry a banner that reads:" Freedom for Palestine, Alliance stop the war," during a demonstration in support of Palestinians in Gaza, outside the Israeli embassy, in Athens, Monday, June 9, 2025 (AP)

Athens mayor slams Israeli ambassador over Gaza war, graffiti claim

  • Politics
  • 3 Aug 2025

Coverage

All
The Ummah's Martyrs

Read Next

All
A member of the al-Qassam Brigades, the armed wing of Hamas, takes part in a parade as he celebrates a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and the Israeli regime in Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip, Sunday, January 19, 2025 (AP)
Politics

Al-Qassam: We’ll allow aid to Israeli captives if Gaza siege ends

Freed Lebanese freedom fighter Georges Abdallah during an interview on Al Mayadeen, which aired on Sunday, August 3, 2025 (Al Mayadeen screengrab)
Politics

Exclusive: Resistance key to building state, Georges Abdallah says

United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres gives a statement about the situation in Gaza at UN headquarters, Friday, June 27, 2025 (AP)
Politics

UN warns Gaza faces water crisis, looming famine under Israeli siege

Israeli soldiers drive their armored personnel carrier along the Gaza Strip, in southern occupied Palestine, Wednesday, July 30, 2025 (AP)
Politics

Ex-Israeli general says Gaza starvation campaign isolated 'Israel'

Al Mayadeen English

Al Mayadeen is an Arab Independent Media Satellite Channel.

All Rights Reserved

  • x
  • Privacy Policy
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Authors
Android
iOS