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Occupied Palestine: Five members of the IOF wounded in clashes that took place in Rafah on Wednesday
Israeli media outlet: Netanyahu and Katz are expected to conduct a security assessment soon, and a wave of attacks in Gaza is anticipated later
Israeli media outlet: Gunmen emerged from a tunnel in Rafah and attacked forces in the area with gunfire and anti-tank missiles
Local sources from Damascus countryside: An Israeli occupation drone targeted the road connecting the town of Beit Jinn and Tell Bat al-Warda with 3 airstrikes, without any reported casualties
Al Mayadeen's Beirut Bureau chief: Addition of non-military envoy was agreed upon to pursue non-technical matters.
Al Mayadeen's Beirut Bureau Chief: Lebanese Presidency's statement affirms Lebanon's readiness to attend talks in an effective capacity.
Lebanese Presidency: President has assigned former Ambassador Simon Karam to head military technical committee in talks.
Israeli occupation forces carry out an arrest campaign during a raid on Surif, north of Al-Khalil in the southern occupied West Bank.
Syrian Foreign Ministry: Damascus expresses its gratitude to the countries that voted in the UN General Assembly in favor of ending the Israeli occupation of the Syrian Golan.
Ushakov: Russia and the United States agreed not to disclose the substance of the Putin–Witkoff talks.

IMF warns of up to 7% global GDP loss due to Ukraine conflict

  • By Al Mayadeen English
  • Source: Agencies
  • 11 Dec 2023 21:13
3 Min Read

Gopinath highlighted that the losses could be particularly significant in lower-income countries and emerging markets.

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  • A general view of the crater at a site of recent missile attack in Kiev, Ukraine, Monday, Dec. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)
    A general view of the crater at a site of a recent missile attack in Kiev, Ukraine, Monday, Dec. 11, 2023 (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

On Monday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported that the economic repercussions of the Ukraine conflict, resulting in the global economy's division into two blocs, are estimated to range up to 7% of GDP.

"If the global economy were to fragment into two blocs based on UN voting on the 2022 Ukraine Resolution and trade between the two blocs were eliminated, global losses are estimated to be about 2.5 percent of GDP. But depending on economies’ ability to adjust, the losses could reach as high as 7 percent of GDP," IMF First Deputy Managing Director Gita Gopinath said.

Gopinath highlighted that the losses could be particularly significant in lower-income countries and emerging markets.

"Foreign direct investment (FDI) fragmentation in a world divided into two blocs centered around the United States and China - with some countries remaining non-aligned - could result in long-term global losses of around 2% of GDP," she said.

Gopinath observed "clear signs" indicating the segmentation of global Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) along geopolitical lines.

"Announced FDI projects between blocs declined more than those within blocs after the onset of the war in Ukraine, while FDI to non-aligned countries sharply increased," Gopinath added.

Does the world really care that much?

While a lot of hype was generated around the conflict in Ukraine, it appears that the war on Gaza is drawing more attention.

This is particularly because the West is sponsoring an Israeli-led genocide which has resulted in a humanitarian crisis of unprecedented scale in the Gaza Strip.

There is a possibility that an upcoming bill at the US Congress may downplay funding for Ukraine at the expense of aiding "Israel."

The European Union is particularly bittersweet over the Ukraine conflict as the bloc has authorized at least €27 billion ($28.9 billion) in military assistance to Ukraine since last year.

In October of last year, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov openly stated that the US is interested in weakening Europe militarily and de-industrializing it. 

It seems that it is still the case since the entire bloc appears to be in the middle of another recession.

Read more: Making sense of a self-induced recession in Europe

  • GDP
  • Global economy
  • IMF
  • Ukraine
  • global markets

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