Al Mayadeen English

  • Ar
  • Es
  • x
Al Mayadeen English

Slogan

  • News
    • Politics
    • Economy
    • Sports
    • Arts&Culture
    • Health
    • Miscellaneous
    • Technology
    • Environment
  • Articles
    • Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Blog
    • Features
  • Videos
    • NewsFeed
    • Video Features
    • Explainers
    • TV
    • Digital Series
  • Infographs
  • In Pictures
  • • LIVE
News
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Sports
  • Arts&Culture
  • Health
  • Miscellaneous
  • Technology
  • Environment
Articles
  • Opinion
  • Analysis
  • Blog
  • Features
Videos
  • NewsFeed
  • Video Features
  • Explainers
  • TV
  • Digital Series
Infographs
In Pictures
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Asia-Pacific
  • Europe
  • Latin America
  • MENA
  • Palestine
  • US & Canada
BREAKING
PIJ: We responsibly partook in talks that led to this decision.
PIJ: Response presented by Hamas to Trump plan expresses position of Palestinian Resistance factions.
Israeli army spokesman: Chief of Staff orders increased readiness to implement first phase of Trump plan to release hostages.
Israeli KAN channel: Political leaders instruct the military to reduce offensive activity in Gaza; negotiations expected to begin soon.
Netanyahu's office: We will continue to work in full cooperation with the president and his team to end the war in accordance with the principles laid out by Israel, which correspond with Trump’s vision for ending the war.
Netanyahu's office: Israel is getting ready to carry out the first phase of Trump's plan to immediately release all hostages.
Gaza Civil Defense spokesperson: We in Gaza City are currently being relentlessly and mercilessly bombed.
Erdogan: Conclude the talks in the best interests of the Palestinian people and implement the two-state solution, which is also supported by the international community.
Erdogan: This genocide and this shameful scene that deeply wounds the global conscience must end now.
Erdogan: All steps must be taken without delay to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza and achieve lasting peace.

500,000 people could leave the US in 2025, prompting economic disaster

  • By Al Mayadeen English
  • Source: Newsweek
  • 18 Jul 2025 17:17
3 Min Read

President Trump's 2025 immigration agenda may cut net migration to the US, shrinking the foreign-born workforce and slowing economic growth.

Listen
  • x
  • People deported from the United States disembark from a repatriation flight at La Aurora International Airport in Guatemala City, Thursday, June 26, 2025 (AP)
    People deported from the United States disembark from a repatriation flight at La Aurora International Airport in Guatemala City, on Thursday, June 26, 2025 (AP)

The United States could see the migration of hundreds of thousands of people out of the country this year due to President Donald Trump's immigration agenda, Newsweek reported on Friday, citing a recently published study. However, experts believe his aggressive campaign of deportations and entry restrictions may shrink the foreign-born workforce, ultimately harming the economy.

In a recent research paper published by the conservative-leaning American Enterprise Institute (AEI), researchers estimated that net migration to the United States could range between 525,000 and 1.15 million this year, a figure they say reflects "a sharp decline in inflows and a modest rise in outflows."

This compares to roughly 1.3 million immigrants in 2024, according to Macrotrends, and 330,000 in 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic brought global travel to a sudden halt. If the most conservative estimates prove accurate, the US could see negative net migration for the first time in decades.

Significant economic blow

Related News

Hegseth fires top Navy aide amid power struggle over service structure

Trump offers migrant kids $2,500 to self-deport, drawing outrage

Since foreign-born workers make up 19.2% of the US workforce according to the Labor Department,  and immigrants also represent a substantial portion of consumer spending, a decline of this scale could weaken both the labor market and household consumption, ultimately dragging down GDP growth by up to 0.4% this year.

This matches the findings of a separate study released last week by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, which indicates that reduced immigration could knock 0.75% to 1.0% off GDP growth this year.

Giovanni Peri, a UC Davis labor economist, told Newsweek that sustained migration declines would hit lower-skilled sectors hardest, construction, agriculture, hospitality, and personal services, where US-born workers rarely replace lost immigrant labor. This, in turn, would lead to a rise in prices in these sectors.

Deportations cull consumer spending

According to an American Enterprise Institute paper, lower consumer spending would reduce business revenues, leading to layoffs and adding another layer of pressure to a labor market already strained by workforce decline.

American Immigration Council estimates find that the foreign-born population in the United States holds approximately $1.7 trillion in spending power, with undocumented immigrants accounting for $299 billion of this total, while collectively contributing $167 billion in rental payments during 2023.

Despite potential economic consequences, President Trump continues to advance his immigration agenda, with deportations ongoing and $150 billion in newly approved enforcement funding. AEI's Stan Veuger expressed cautious hope but little optimism that economic growth concerns would lead to a reconsideration of these policies.

  • United States
  • Trump immigration policy
  • immigrants
  • illegal immigrants in the US
  • Donald Trump
  • US economy

Most Read

Last photo showing Martyr Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and Martyr Hajj Hassan in a Resistance operations room, Beirut's southern suburb, Lebanon, days before their martyrdom (Al Mayadeen)

In heart of battle: Al Mayadeen shares last photo of Sayyed Nasrallah

  • Politics
  • 27 Sep 2025
Hamas fighters stand in formation ahead of a ceremony to hand over Israeli captives to the Red Cross in Nuseirat, Gaza Strip, Feb. 22, 2025. (AP)

Hamas reviews Trump’s Gaza ceasefire plan as PIJ rejects

  • Palestine
  • 30 Sep 2025
Iraq at a crossroads: A new war front?

Iraq at a crossroads: A new war front?

  • West Asia
  • 30 Sep 2025
Trump’s 21-point Gaza plan vs Netanyahu’s demand for Hamas defeat

Trump vows 'something special' in ME; Israeli delegation in chaos

  • US & Canada
  • 28 Sep 2025

Coverage

All
War on Gaza

Read Next

All
A Hamas fighter in combat fatigues stands before the ceremony for the handover of Israeli captives to the Red Cross in Nuseirat, central Gaza Strip, Saturday, February 22, 2025 (AP)
Politics

Hamas responds to Trump plan, backs Gaza withdrawal, exchange

Commander of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guard Corps' Quds Force, General Esmail Qaani, in Tehran, Iran, Tuesday, October 15, 2024 (AP)
Politics

Hezbollah reshaped Gaza war after Sayyed Nasrallah martyrdom: Qaani

Smoke rises following an Israeli military strike in Gaza City, as seen from the central Gaza Strip, Wednesday, October 1, 2025 (AP)
Politics

72 Palestinians martyred in Israeli strikes on Gaza since dawn

President Donald Trump is greeted by War Secretary Pete Hegseth before speaking to a gathering of top US military commanders at Marine Corps Base Quantico, Tuesday, September 30, 2025, in Quantico, Virginia (AP)
Politics

UN experts: Trump’s Gaza plan breaches international law

Al Mayadeen English

Al Mayadeen is an Arab Independent Media Satellite Channel.

All Rights Reserved

  • x
  • Privacy Policy
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Authors
Android
iOS