According to a recent ABC News/Ipsos survey, Donald Trump leads his Republican opponents in key popularity indicators as the 2024 primary season begins, while Joe Biden's job approval rating has dipped to the lowest rating for any president in the last 15 years.

Trump is especially popular among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents on three criteria: having the best chance of winning in November, being a strong leader, and being the party's most qualified candidate.

Trump is also ahead of his opponents in empathy and shared values. Seven out of ten Republicans and GOP leaners have a positive impression of Trump overall.

Overall, 72% of Republican-aligned Americans, compared to 75% in May, would be pleased with Trump as the candidate. Sixty-one percent would be pleased with Ron DeSantis, 48% would be pleased with Nikki Haley, and 44% would be pleased with Vivek Ramaswamy.

Political moderates are 21 percentage points less likely than conservatives to be satisfied with Trump, and 57% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents would be comfortable with Biden as their party's nominee, reflecting his low ratings overall and on topics such as economy and immigration.

Sixty-eight percent of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents believe Trump has the best chance of being elected in November. 

Fewer, but still 54%, believe he is the greatest choice to serve as president. Fewer than half, 46%, believe he best understands their concerns, while almost the same number, 45%, choose Trump as the candidate who best embodies their views.

Related News

Senate blames Secret Service failures for Trump assassination attempt

South Korea warns US chip tariffs threaten economy, global supply

Most dramatically, just 27% of college graduates believe Trump best understands the concerns of people like them, compared to 57% of those without a four-year degree.

Furthermore, white evangelical Protestants, a major Republican constituency, are 11 percentage points less likely than their non-evangelical counterparts to believe Trump best reflects their beliefs, 40% vs. 51%, a small difference considering sample numbers. At the same time, evangelicals have a better overall favorability rating for Trump than other religious groups, indicating that they evaluate him using a different metric than shared beliefs.

No more Joe

Right now, the two runner-ups for the elections are Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Both presidents have been widely disliked and notorious for mismanagement and entanglements in fraud, and most recently, Biden has been the center of an impeachment case.

According to a new DailyMail/J.L Partners poll, six in ten people, including almost one-third of Democrats, believe Joe Biden should not run for president in 2024.

In another worrying indicator for Biden, over half of Democrats believe it is still possible for the 81-year-old to be replaced as his party's nominee.

Sixty percent believe Biden should not run for re-election, 34% believe he should, and 6% have no view.

The results are preceded by a recent poll that revealed Biden is trailing behind former President Donald Trump despite the latter's legal trouble as he fights a slew of court lawsuits.

Biden is also facing backlash from some members of his Democratic Party over the latest US-British aggression that targeted several locations in Yemen on Friday.

Furthermore, he has been suffering from extremely low approval ratings due to his ongoing support for the Israeli genocide in Gaza, with hundreds of thousands of Americans protesting, demanding he end support for "Israel" and call for an immediate ceasefire.