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Al Mayadeen's correspondent: Two were martyred in an initial toll of the Israeli drone strike that targeted the al-Asira neighborhood in the city of Baalbek, eastern Lebanon
Al Mayadeen's correspondent: An Israeli drone strike targeted the al-Asira neighborhood east of Baalbek, eastern Lebanon
Sheikh Naim Qassem to the pager attack survivors: You are the greatest resistance. Know that 'Israel' will fall because it embodies aggression, crime, and occupation; victory is truly yours
Sheikh Qassem to the pager attack survivors: The value of what you are doing despite your wounds is immense, and here you are, treading the path of the Master of Nation's Martyrs and the leaders
Sheikh Qassem to the pager attack survivors: You are moving forward with insight deeper than sight itself. The enemy sought to eliminate your role in the battle, yet you remain steadfast and continue the fight
Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem to the pager attack survivors one year later: You are healing from your wounds and rising above them. You have successfully passed the test
Palestinian media: Reports of stabbing operation in occupied al-Quds.
Israeli media: Sirens blare in Arava in South, near Ramon Airport.
Egyptian PM Mostafa Madbouli: Egypt is targeted in plans to redraw regional map
AEOI Chief Mohammad Eslami: Our presence in IAEA General Council and fact-checking helped in preventing unilateral rhetoric that aims to portray Iran as an unregulated country

Disastrous poll for Netanyahu: Ben-Gvir rises as Likud falls

  • By Al Mayadeen English
  • Source: Israeli media
  • 24 Jan 2025 12:38
3 Min Read

The poll results reflect the political aftermath of Ben-Gvir and Otzma Yehudit's withdrawal from the government in protest of the recent Gaza ceasefire deal.

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    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends an Israeli soldier memorial ceremony in the Hall of Remembrance at Mount Herzl Military Cemetery in occupied al-Quds, on July 16, 2024. (AP)

If Knesset elections were held today, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party would see its representation drop by two seats, leaving it with 21, while Otzma Yehudit, led by former Police Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, would gain ground, rising to nine seats, according to a poll published by the Israeli newspaper Maariv.

The poll results reflect the political aftermath of Ben-Gvir and Otzma Yehudit's withdrawal from the government in protest of the recent Gaza ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement with the Palestinian Resistance.

The National Unity Party, led by Benny Gantz, would gain one seat, bringing its total to 18, the same number projected for Yisrael Beiteinu. Meanwhile, Yesh Atid is forecasted to secure 13 seats. The Religious Zionism party, under Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, would narrowly surpass the electoral threshold with four seats. However, Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar would fail to return to the Knesset, despite slight gains.

If elections were held today, the poll predicts the following seat distribution:

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  1. Likud: 21
  2. National Unity: 18
  3. Yisrael Beiteinu: 18
  4. Yesh Atid: 13
  5. The Democrats (Labor and Meretz): 12
  6. Shas: 10
  7. Otzma Yehudit: 9
  8. United Torah Judaism: 7
  9. United Arab List: 5
  10. Hadash-Ta’al: 5
  11. Religious Zionism: 4
  12. Gideon Sa’ar’s party: 0 (2% vote share).

In terms of bloc dynamics, Netanyahu’s coalition would receive 51 seats, while the opposition would secure 59 seats, with Arab parties collectively holding 10 seats. This balance suggests the opposition would need support from Arab parties or defections from Netanyahu’s coalition to form a government.

The poll also examined a hypothetical scenario involving a new party led by former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett. Such a party would command 27 seats, significantly altering the political landscape. Likud would drop to 19 seats, Yesh Atid to 9, and both Smotrich and Sa’ar would fail to meet the electoral threshold. In this scenario, Bennett’s coalition would grow to 67 seats, while Netanyahu’s bloc would shrink to 43.

The survey found that 62% of Israelis believe Netanyahu should resign, including 18% of Likud voters, citing his responsibility for the failures of October 7. Conversely, 29% oppose his resignation and 9% remain undecided.

On the topic of the prisoner exchange deal, only 28% of Israelis are confident it will be fully implemented, while 39% doubt its completion, and 33% refrained from expressing an opinion. Opposition voters showed greater optimism, with 34% believing the deal would succeed, compared to the pessimism of 42% of coalition voters.

Among those skeptical about the deal’s success, 74% blame Hamas, 21% hold "Israel" accountable, and 5% cite other reasons or declined to respond. A closer look reveals that 88% of coalition voters blame Hamas, compared to 64% of opposition voters. Meanwhile, 34% of opposition voters attribute the failure to "Israel", a view shared by only 9% of coalition voters.

Read more: Most Israelis support full implementation of Gaza ceasefire deal

  • Gaza Strip
  • war on Gaza
  • Palestine
  • Israel
  • Benjamin Netanyahu
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir
  • Gaza
  • Likud party

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