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Will 'Israel' attack Iranian nuclear sites?

  • Robert Inlakesh Robert Inlakesh
  • Source: Al Mayadeen English
  • 15 Sep 2022 23:32
  • 5 Shares
6 Min Read

As talks to revive the 2015 JCPOA have again come to an impasse, it is no secret that both the US and "Israel" are now seeking to apply additional pressure on Tehran.

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  • Will 'Israel' attack Iranian nuclear sites?

The fate of a renewal of the Iran Nuclear Deal is uncertain, however, an escalation between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Zionist entity could occur at any time. While the regime in "Tel Aviv" threatens possible military options against Tehran’s nuclear facilities, Iran makes it very clear that any attack will be avenged.

As talks to revive the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) have again come to an impasse, it is no secret that both the United States and "Israel" are now seeking to apply additional pressure on Tehran, while the US administration, under a President (Biden) who promised to revive the deal as a campaign commitment, has applied additional sanctions against Iran, the latest of which targeted the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence. The first point of action, if Washington declares the talks are dead, would be to further enforce the “maximum pressure campaign,” following in the footsteps of former US President Donald Trump.

Since 2021, the rhetoric coming from the White House, especially during meetings with Israeli leaders, has been inflammatory. In late August this year, it even seemed that the US had indicated to the Israeli war minister, Benny Gantz, that Washington was drafting a military option against Iran. Biden has also recently spoken of pursuing “other options” against the Islamic Republic, in response to the baseless allegations that Iran is working toward developing nuclear weapons. For long, however, the US has been using this sort of language and threats, from which nothing has come.

"Israel" on the other hand has been upping its own rhetoric again on its so-called “right to defend itself," threatening to take action against Iran, presumably by striking Iranian nuclear facilities. Not only are these threats reckless and work against US interests in the Middle East, but if they were to be followed through, they could cause humanitarian and environmental catastrophes.

Benny Gantz recently gave a speech at a conference organized by the Zionist Jerusalem Post, during which he claimed to have pinpointed ten facilities in Syria, where Iran is said to be developing advanced missiles. Many media outlets took this presentation as a direct threat and somewhat of a revelation, however, the likelihood that this claim is true is extremely low. "Israel" routinely launches unprovoked airstrikes against Syria, striking whatever it chooses with no return fire and no punishments, meaning that any target is fair game for them to hit. So, if "Tel Aviv" knows where these 10 alleged facilities are, why hasn’t it hit them? Additionally, why notify your enemy that you know the location of key targets? If these targets do exist, you only give away your element of surprise. 

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What was most notable from Benny Gantz’s speech, however, came later during the answers he gave to reporters. When asked about the Iran nuclear deal, he answered in an unsure way, shying away from taking a firm stance in one way or another. Reading into this, we could say that he was playing it safe in the hope that the US Biden administration would not take issue with his statement.

Whilst the Israeli regime constantly talks a big game about “defending itself” and not allowing Iran to attain a nuclear weapon, the reality is that "Tel Aviv" knows that it cannot launch a war against the Islamic Republic. Already this year, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has revealed a ballistic missile capable of hitting "Israel" and recently a new suicide-drone, designed to specifically target Haifa and "Tel Aviv". "Israel" constantly warns the US about the alleged dangers of reviving the JCPOA. The Israeli Mossad chief, David Barnea, even openly says that regardless of any deal, "Israel" will continue its covert operations against Iran.

At this point, "Tel Aviv’s" saber-rattling is all bark and no bite. While covert operations, where "Israel" uses foreign operatives to carry out assassination attacks in Iran, will likely continue as we saw happen earlier this year, airstrikes, however, are another thing entirely. A declaration of war, in the way of using fighter jets to target Iranian nuclear facilities, would be suicide for the Israeli regime. The Zionist entity has already bitten off more than it can chew with Hezbollah in Lebanon and knows that it will not fare well in any future confrontation, let alone open up what could result in a multi-front war. The only reason why the US has not attacked Iran at this point is that Washington knows that they would open an unwinnable conflict.

The weak and vulnerable Israeli regime cannot afford to open up a direct war against Iran. So why is the rhetoric of Israeli officials so crazy? It’s all to make the Israeli public happy. The big bad enemy of the Zionist entity is Iran and its alleged nuclear weapons, which according to Israeli predictions have been just a few years away, for the past 30 years. The average Israeli sees the ability of Israeli leadership to block the JCPOA’s revival as a feat of strength and so every politician is wanting to look strong against Iran, especially as the next round of Israeli elections is right around the corner. "Israel" can talk all day about its intentions to strike Iran and destroy its non-existent nuclear weapons programme, and it will still mean nothing. However, if they make any miscalculations and push things too far, they could wind up receiving a retaliatory blow that they aren’t ready for. At the most, "Israel" will strike targets in Syria and may try to carry out another high-profile assassination to assert its dominance, but launching an all-out war would be the last decision the entity would ever make.

The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect Al Mayadeen’s editorial stance.
  • United States
  • Iran nuclear deal
  • Israel
  • JCPOA
  • Israeli occupation
  • Iran
Robert Inlakesh

Robert Inlakesh

Political Analyst, Journalist, and Documentary Filmmaker.

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