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'Israel' may stage false flag to force US into Iran war, experts warn

  • By Al Mayadeen English
  • Source: Agencies
  • 18 Jun 2025 23:57
  • 11 Shares
3 Min Read

If Trump resists deeper US involvement in "Israel’s" war on Iran, Tel Aviv may resort to false flag operations, such as attacks on US assets or staged terror incidents, experts warn.

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  • Experts warn: 'Israel' may stage false flag if Iran war falters
    People walk past the New York Stock Exchange on June 18, 2025, in New York. (AP)

If its campaign against Iran falters, "Israel" may stage a false flag scenario similar to the USS Liberty operation to force the US to engage directly in the Israeli war on Iran, experts warn.

The US is already assisting the Israeli occupation with supplies, intel, and refueling support, according to a former Pentagon analyst and retired Air Force Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski.

Speaking to Sputnik, Kwiatkowski warned that if Trump resists direct involvement in "Israel’s" war on Iran, "a false flag may be needed" to force his hand.

Kwiatkowski outlined several possible scenarios "Israel" could use to fabricate a justification for US interference:

▪️An attack on US assets in the region blamed on Iran or its allies, such as the Yemeni Armed Forces (YAF);
▪️A domestic terror attack or assassination attributed to Iran;
▪️An Iranian air defense strike “accidentally” hitting a civilian jetliner carrying Americans;
▪️The use of a dirty bomb or radioactive contamination staged to implicate Iran;
▪️Nuclear blackmail, threatening to strike Iran with nukes if the US refuses to join the fight.

While Kwiatkowski believes "Israel" likely holds “enough blackmail power” over Trump and Congress to make such provocations unnecessary, she warned that a USS Liberty-style incident, possibly targeting the aging USS Nimitz as it returns to the Middle East, cannot be ruled out.
 
Beirut-based geopolitical analyst Yeghia Tashjian shares similar concerns, noting that "Israel" has “limited capabilities” when it comes to effectively targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, particularly its heavily fortified underground facilities, which are the primary focus of Operation Rising Lion.

Tashjian also points out that "Israel" lacks the capacity to deploy ground forces inside Iran, making the prospect of an “overwhelming victory” virtually impossible, even under favorable conditions.

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As for provoking US involvement, he warns that false flag scenarios could include attacks on American military bases in Iraq or orchestrated terror attacks on US embassies in the region, both designed to draw Washington into the war.

Trump on potential of strikes on Iran: 'I may do it, I may not do it'

Trump suggested Wednesday that the United States might join Israeli airstrikes on Iran, though he remained noncommittal, saying, “I may do it, I may not do it.”

Speaking from the South Lawn of the White House, where he was observing the installation of a new flagpole, Trump said his patience with Tehran had “already run out” and reiterated his demand for Iran’s “unconditional surrender".

Iran’s ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva warned on Wednesday that Tehran would respond firmly to any direct US involvement in the Israeli occupation’s war on Iran.

Trump revealed that Iran had recently reached out to begin negotiations, even proposing to send officials to the White House to discuss its nuclear program.

"They’ve suggested that they come to the White House,” he claimed.

However, he cast doubt on the timing, calling it “very late” to begin talks, though he didn’t rule out the possibility of a meeting.

“There’s a big difference between now and a week ago,” Trump said, acknowledging Iran’s willingness to negotiate as a bold move but noting the difficulty such outreach poses for the Iranian government. 

  • Israel
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  • Israeli occupation
  • Tehran
  • war on Iran
  • Pentagon
  • Donald Trump
  • United States
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