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Al Mayadeen's correspondent in South Lebanon: Israeli drone targets a car in the town of Kawnin

'Israel' struggles to anticipate Hezbollah's next move: Israeli media

  • By Al Mayadeen English
  • Source: Israeli media
  • 15 Oct 2024 10:17
  • 2 Shares
4 Min Read

A recent analysis published by Haaretz contends that interpreting Hezbollah's actions has become increasingly difficult for "Israel".

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  • 'Israel' struggles to anticipate Hezbollah's next move: Haaretz
    Lebanese people watch the speech of Marytr Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah as they sit in a cafe in the southern of Beirut, Thursday, September 19, 2024. (AP)

"Israel's" Military Intelligence is likely scrambling to determine whether Hezbollah's strike on Sunday was a stroke of luck or a calculated move, according to a new analysis published by Haaretz.

However, interpreting Hezbollah's actions has become increasingly difficult, per the piece.

While the assassination of its top commanders has clearly weakened the Resistance movement, it also complicates efforts to detect and predict its actions and broader strategy, according to the piece.

After Sayyed Nasrallah's assassination: Unraveling Israeli confusion 

Orna Mizrahi, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv, has spent decades working within the military and at the Israeli National Security Council. She noted that previously, she "could gauge Hezbollah's intentions by following its leader, Hassan Nasrallah, who had guided the group since 1992 until he was assassinated in a Beirut bombing on September 27."

"Nasrallah was the enemy I knew. I listened to him, I read his speeches, and as a result, I felt as if I understood Hezbollah's logic and strategy. He explained it," Mizrahi said on this week’s Haaretz Podcast.

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"Now we have the challenge of understanding, first, who the new leaders of this organization are, and is there even a renewed guideline for the organization's activity? And if there's any change in the organization's strategy," she remarked.

"Israel," according to the piece, is left uncertain about whom to monitor after the possible assassination of Sayyed Hashem Safieddine, who was poised to be Sayyed Nasrallah's successor, even before he had a chance to assume the role. Consequently, Hezbollah is likely keeping the identity of its new leader, if one has been appointed, under wraps, it added.

Like a drone—the Resistance movement's likely weapon of choice—"Israel" remains uncertain about Hezbollah's future direction and how to "ensure the safety of northern citizens" to whom it has promised a swift return home.

Read more: Hezbollah ops. increasingly worry 'Israel' about future: Safieddine

Hezbollah says 'capabilities perfectly fine' in new military video

The Military Media of the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon - Hezbollah released Monday a new video revealing some of its strategic military capabilities, including large facilities dedicated to the Resistance's drone air force and showcasing various types of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Under the title "Our Capabilities Are in Excellent Shape," the footage depicts members of Hezbollah's drone air force preparing different reconnaissance and attack drones for launch. The video captures the process from the drones being taken out of storage to being prepped and tested in the field before being launched toward enemy targets.

For the first time, Hezbollah displayed a drone armed with missiles ready for launch. The video also prominently featured large images of Hezbollah Secretary-General martyr Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and martyred mi

By releasing this video, Hezbollah effectively counters Israeli claims of it having successfully struck the resistance's strategic capabilities, particularly its drone air force.

The video's release came less than 24 hours after Hezbollah carried out a significant attack on a gathering of Israeli soldiers at one of their secret bases in Binyamina, south of Haifa. The precision strike left dozens of Israeli soldiers dead or wounded, delivering a shocking blow to the Israeli military and political leadership.

  • Israeli aggression
  • Israeli assassination
  • Israel
  • Hezbollah
  • Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah
  • Israeli occupation

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