Almost 80 years after Israeli occupation of Palestine, the great majority of the Arab public refuses to normalise with "Israel", with fresh polling data revealing a dramatic decline in support for normalization after the Israeli war on Gaza following October 7, 2023.

According to the latest Arab Barometer surveys conducted between 2023 and 2024, support for Arab normalization with the Israeli regime has plummeted to historic lows. In none of the eight surveyed West Asian and North African countries did public backing exceed 13%.

The Arab Barometer's Wave VIII surveys, which covered Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Mauritania, Morocco, Palestine, and Tunisia, showed a consistent regional downturn in normalization sentiment. Morocco saw a drop from 31% in 2022 to 13% post-October 7; Lebanon from 17% to 12%; Iraq from 14% to 13%; Mauritania from 8% to 4%; and Jordan from 5% to 3%.

Prior to the 2020 normalization accords, support for normalization with "Israel" was already limited. In a 2018–2019 survey, Sudan recorded the highest level at 32%, while Yemen had the lowest at 5%.

'Israel' is the primary regional threat

Across the region, "Israel" was most frequently cited as the leading threat to regional stability. Lebanon had the highest perception at 79%, followed by Palestine at 63%, Egypt at 54%, Jordan at 42%, and Morocco at 27%.

In Egypt and Jordan, younger respondents were notably less likely to see "Israel" as the main threat, while in Palestine, the younger demographic showed heightened concern.

Protest movements

Public sentiment against normalization translated into protest activity across the region, per Foreign Affairs. In April 2025, Morocco’s largest labor union urged the government to prohibit the entry of such ships into Moroccan waters and organized a series of protests in solidarity with Gaza.

Jordan experienced daily protests since October 7, with authorities recalling their ambassador from "Israel" and enforcing a ban on the Muslim Brotherhood.

In Kuwait, where protests were restricted, 84% of citizens boycotted pro-Israel companies, 62% donated to Gaza, and many shared solidarity messages online.

Low favorability of 'Israel's' allies, too

Public sentiment toward Western allies of "Israel" deteriorated sharply. Approval of the United States dropped by 23 points in Jordan and 19 in Mauritania. France’s favorability fell 20 points in Lebanon and 17 in Mauritania.

The United Kingdom experienced the steepest decline in Morocco, with a 38-point drop. In contrast, China saw a significant boost in public opinion: 16 points in Jordan, 15 in Morocco, 10 in Iraq, and 6 in Lebanon.

The Arab Barometer Wave VIII data was collected across nine countries between September 2023 and July 2024, with most surveys completed by March 2024. This timing means the findings do not capture Arab public opinion following several significant regional developments, including "Israel's" war on Lebanon and later on Iran, and the Israeli aggression on Syria.

The survey data therefore represents public sentiment during the initial nine months following October 7, 2023, but predates these subsequent escalations that may have further influenced regional attitudes toward "Israel."