Venezuela's Maduro 'very likely to win election with over 53% of vote'
3 Min Read
All opinion polls indicate Maduro's likely win in Venezuela's elections on July 28.
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A supporter of Venezuelan Nicolas Maduro holds a poster with his image during a campaign rally on the Boulevard of Coche in Caracas on July 8, 2024. (AP)
The Center for Measurement and Interpretation of Statistical Data (CEMIDE 50.1) published results from an electoral preferences poll conducted ahead of the Venezuelan presidential elections on July 28.
According to Giovanni Nani Lozada, Arturo Michelena University's rector, the possibility that President Nicolas Maduro will win 53% of the vote is "very high".
Lozada explained that "the possibility of vote polarization is minimal, according to field studies conducted using artificial intelligence, which helps eliminate the biases observed in other studies," adding that usually, local opinion studies do not account for the numerous factors that influence the electoral decision.
He asserted that 72% of registered Venezuelan voters are 35 and older, citing that those polled should first be asked whether they are registered to vote and then asked about their voting intention.
Un show de drones alumbró el cielo de Maracaibo con la cara del mandatario venezolano @NicolasMaduro y los símbolos de su campaña electoral durante la inauguración de la segunda parte del parque Ana María Campos. pic.twitter.com/XgDMzE018l
— Madelein Garcia (@madeleintlSUR) July 13, 2024
As a result, Nani Lozada questioned studies based on social media viewpoints, as Boston Consulting reports that the majority of content creators on these platforms are persons aged 16 to 24. However, he noted that this age group accounts for barely 6% of the Venezuelan voting roll.
He further explained that 41% of Venezuelan voters are 50 or older, representing only 2% social media presence, adding that young content producers on social media will "not be significant" in the upcoming elections. "Definitely, in no way can we take social media as a gauge of what could happen in an election,” he stated.
With Venezuelan President Nicolas #Maduro leading opinion polls ahead of the upcoming 2024 Venezuelan presidential elections, the opposition has been attempting to incite violence, attempting to plunge the country into chaos.
— Al Mayadeen English (@MayadeenEnglish) July 17, 2024
However, according to #AlMayadeen English's… pic.twitter.com/Glsg2witqH
Latest polls suggest that incumbent Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is likely to secure a third term in office, Al Mayadeen's correspondent in Venezuela reported on Monday, as the Latin American country is set to witness its presidential election on July 28.
Ten candidates are running for the election, with the competition limited mostly to Maduro and the opposition's Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia – a former ambassador who has never held public office.
Our correspondent highlighted that the competition between election campaigns is intensifying in the eastern regions of Caracas, with the latest polls showing Maduro in the lead and likely to retain the presidency.
Al Mayadeen's Orwa Mahmoud pointed out that the Venezuelan people trust President Maduro because he belongs to the school of thought and principles of the late President Hugo Chavez and represents a symbol of continuity in the Bolivarian Revolution.
The United Nations said four of its electoral experts arrived in Venezuela Tuesday to compile a report on the voting. They will stay until several days after the election.
Maduro signed in June a document with several candidates to respect the outcome of the election.
On Sunday, he predicted that his country's economy will grow by more than 8% this year, announcing steps toward boosting Venezuela's economy.
It is noteworthy that Maduro's 2018 reelection was rejected as "illegitimate" by most Western countries.
Last week, a Colombian paramilitary group announced in a video that Venezuela's far-right reached out to them requesting they assassinate Maduro.
The incumbent president had previously accused the United States and the Venezuelan opposition of seeking to manipulate the results of the election and destabilize the country.
