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War and diplomacy during and after the flood

  • Batool Subeiti Batool Subeiti
  • Source: Al Mayadeen English
  • 22 Dec 2024 11:48
  • 1 Shares
4 Min Read

Whilst the Resistance Axis is no longer in its previous form after it was hit at its joint, it now can encompass an even bigger area.

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  • In the current fronts of confrontation, the Resistance must harness the spirit created by the genocide to pivot toward new fronts that may fall outside the current scope of the struggle. (Al Mayadeen English; Illustrated by Batoul Chamas)
    In the current fronts of confrontation, the Resistance must harness the spirit created by the genocide to pivot toward new fronts that may fall outside the current scope of the struggle. (Al Mayadeen English; Illustrated by Batoul Chamas)

Diplomacy during times of war differs significantly from diplomacy during periods of relative calm. This is particularly when the negotiating parties fundamentally differ in their goals and have different standards. With an enemy that achieves their goals through striking fear, one cannot rely on their goodwill, nor waste available opportunities in the hope of a mirage.

History demonstrates that the trap of diplomacy has often led to setbacks for resistance movements. Delays and misplaced trust in promises from a deceitful enemy have resulted in strategic losses, particularly when officials believed in diplomatic assurances that later proved false. Understanding the true nature of the enemy is critical for success in war.

The independence and lack of compromise of the Resistance has been key to its achievements so far. Iran stands out as a model in its defensive deterrence strategy. Its strength lies in the ability to fortify itself effectively, guided by its Leader’s directives. However, Iran’s challenge lies in the fact that some executioner tools fail to fully take advantage of this deterrence to its maximum potential, and may not align with Ayatollah Khamenei's vision.

Calculations are necessary, however within the scope of opportunities available. For example, delaying the response to the assassination of the leader of the Resistance in Gaza was interpreted by the enemy as a sign of weakness. This led to further escalation, including subsequent assassinations in Lebanon and an intensified pace of massacres in Gaza and Lebanon.

The most effective supporting fronts during this year’s long battle have been those most steadfast in their resolve, refusing to be deceived. Yemen remains unique in maintaining an unwavering stance since October 8, positioning itself as a model of resilience. Similarly, the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon, particularly under the leadership of its late Secretary General, demonstrated remarkable resolve, successfully instilling fear within the occupying entity. Gaza, through continuing its resistance, has shown signs of effective resistance.

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Syria under Assad however have not fulfilled their potential on the Resistance front, due to their calculation balances. Syria’s dependence on Arab nations that offered false promises, along with an overestimation of Russia’s capacity amidst Ukraine, left it vulnerable. Additionally, Syria’s request for a more limited Iranian role left it more vulnerable during its time of need. These experiences underscore the dangers of misplaced trust in diplomacy and the need for Resistance movements to activate their fronts decisively and at the right time.

The expansion of Resistance fronts depends not only on the model of strategic patience, but on the accumulation of crimes that ignite popular outrage, creating the conditions for mobilization. Resistance cannot afford to wait until its enemy is on its neck, unless there is a deeper strategic plan unfolding.

In the aftermath of the current war, Gaza will require years to recover and confront the machinery of anti-resistance diplomacy. Similarly, Lebanon's leadership appears to be focused on internal consolidation, while Iraq still tries to escape the dominance of the dollar. Yemen stands firm, rejecting all forms of diplomacy with its enemy. This resilience will likely provoke an intense Western campaign, but Yemen has demonstrated its ability to understand the language of its enemy and to respond effectively.

It can be concluded that understanding the Leader's vision requires three key methodologies:

  • An effective detailed strategy capable of activating and influencing the transformations within the Muslim nations following the Al-Aqsa Flood battle.
  • Efficiency in execution, which entails adherence to principles, seizing opportunities without hesitation, and relying on a vision where the competence of individuals is proven through its implementation.
  • Comprehensive coordination among the various fronts of resistance to ensure unity and strategic alignment.

In the current fronts of confrontation, the Resistance must harness the spirit created by the genocide to pivot toward new fronts that may fall outside the current scope of the struggle. These alternative fronts hold the potential for exerting pressure and rallying popular support in unexpected ways, particularly in regions where Western powers are deeply invested in maintaining stability.

Whilst the Resistance Axis is no longer in its previous form after it was hit at its joint, it now can encompass an even bigger area, because the events in the past 14 months have nurtured the idea of resistance in the Ummah.

The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect Al Mayadeen’s editorial stance.
  • Palestine
  • Lebanon
  • Iran
  • Israel
  • war on Gaza
  • Operation Al-Aqsa Flood
  • Gaza
Batool Subeiti

Batool Subeiti

Energy Engineer and political analyst based in London, UK.

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